Long read, just skim it and you will get the feel...Looks good for Republicans. New poll with interesting results has Bush winning same "red" states as before with larger margin while still losing blue states but by a smaller margin. Also other interesting statistics as far as how people feel the direction of the country is going. Red states feel we are headed in the right direction. This offsets another article saying Kerry is now ahead by double digits over Bush. http://www.zogby.com/news/021804.html Bush Leads in Red States, Kerry Ahead in Blue States Voters Hardened on the Economy, War, Gays Marriage A new poll conducted by Zogby International for The OLeary Report and Southern Methodist Universitys John Tower Center from February 12-15, 2004 of 1,209 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points found that if the election for president were held today, Democrat John Kerry would edge George W. Bush 46% to 45% in the blue states or states won by Al Gore in the 2000 election. In the red states, or states won by George W. Bush in 2000, however, Bush wins handily by a 51% to 39% margin. In terms of right direction/wrong direction, blue state voters felt the country was headed in the wrong direction by a 47% to 45% margin while red state voters felt the country was headed in the right direction by a 50% to 40% margin, according to an additional Zogby International/OLeary Report/John Tower Center survey of Red States/Blue States conducted from February 12-15, 2004 of 532 likely Blue State voters and 543 likely Red State voters with a margin of error of + 4.3 percentage points found that. Forty-seven percent of blue state voters rated Bushs job performance as good or excellent while 51% said the presidents job performance was only fair or poor. Fifty-five percent of red states, however, rated the presidents performance and good or excellent while 45% had a fair or poor opinion of the Presidents job performance. On the issue of a strong economy and low unemployment versus job creation, Blue State voters who feel a strong economy is a bigger priority than job creation by a 50% to 40% margin while Red State voters also agreed by a 48% to 40% margin a 49% to 40% margin [see attachment for detailed breakdown of results]. A majority of voters in the survey also reject the filibuster strategy employed by Senate Democrats against some of President Bushs judicial nominees. This is consistent with polling results under President Clinton when voters rejected Republican efforts to block judicial nominees. Fifty-three percent of Blue State and 59% of Red State voters felt the Democratic filibuster of judicial nominees was wrong while 35% of Blue State and 32% of Red State voters feel a minority of Senators are right to use whatever means to necessary to block the nominees. While the issue of gay marriages dominates the news in San Francisco and Boston, a majority of Americans remain opposed to the idea. Fifty-two percent of Red State voters and 50% of Blue State voters support such a constitutional amendment while 43% of Red State voters and 44% of Blue State voters disagree. Voters gave Bush a decided edge when asked who would do a better job of dealing with Al Qaeda, Saddam Hussein, Moammar Gaddafi, North Korea and Iran. Bush was the clear choice among Red State voters (53%) and Blue State votes (47%). Only 31% of Red State voters and 35% of Blue State voters felt Kerry would do a better job in dealing with rogue states and leaders. Pollster John Zogby will be presenting these poll results at a meeting of the Wednesday Morning Club at the Beverly Hills Hotel at 1:00 p.m. on Wednesday, February 18, 2004. There will be a press availability at 1:45 p.m. for Los Angeles press. ZOGBY/OLEARY REPORT/JOHN TOWER CENTER SURVEY RESULTS Q. Thinking ahead to when you cast your vote for president in November, which of the following two statements should be a bigger priority: A strong economy marked by sustained growth, low unemployment and a bull stock market or the creation of good-paying jobs in numbers sufficient to erase or surpass the number of jobs lost since 2001. Fifty-seven percent of voters who have a 401-K retirement plan or investment in the stock market feel a strong economy is a higher priority than job creation compared to 33% who felt job creation was a higher priority. A strong economy was a bigger priority even among non-investors. By a 46% to 43%, non-investors also feel a strong economy was more important than job creation. Current members of the military, by a 54% to 40% margin, and veterans, by a 50% to 40% margin, feel a strong economy is a bigger priority than job creation. Those voters who never attend church feel a strong economy is the bigger priority by a 60% to 32% margin while daily and weekly church-goers also feel the economy is a higher priority by margins of 52% to 41% and 56% to 35% respectively. Fifty-three percent of gun owners think a strong economy is the higher priority compared to 38% who favored job creation. Voters who follow NASCAR, high school sports and little league feel a strong economy is a higher priority by a 47 to 41% margin. Non-NASCAR voters also feel a strong economy is more important by similar margins of 48% to 41%. Q. The Constitution provides the president with the power to nominate justices to the federal bench while the U.S. Senate has the power to "advise and consent." In that role, the Senate has always confirmed judicial nominees by a simple majority of votes a requirement upheld by a Supreme Court ruling. During the Bush presidency, Democrats used, on six occasions, the threat of a filibuster to block confirmation of some of Bush's judicial nominees. The Constitution expressly provides that supermajority voting requirements are to be used for treaties and constitutional amendments. Knowing this, which of the following statements best describes your opinion? Fifty-eight percent of union members, 65% of current military members, 58% of veterans and 68% of gun owners all feel that the Democrats filibuster of judicial nominees in the U.S. Senate is wrong and that a simple majority should be used for the confirmation process. Only 25% of current military members, 36% of veterans, and 24% of gun owners think the Democrats use of the filibuster to block judicial nominees is okay. There is little difference of opinion among church-goers and non-church-goers on this question. Daily church-goers think the use of the filibuster is wrong by a 66% to 25% margin. Weekly church-goers oppose the use of the filibuster by a 58% to 29% margin. Those who never attend church also agree that the Democrats filibuster is wrong by a 61% to 34% margin. Investors in the stock market and in 401-K retirement plans and non-investors, by margins of 57% to 33% and 46% to 43% respectively, feel the use of the filibuster to block judicial nominees is wrong. Fifty-nine percent of NASCAR, high school sports and little league sports fans feel the Democrats use of the filibuster to block judicial nominees was wrong compared to 31% who thought the use of such tactics were okay. Non-NASCAR fans also opposed the Democrats filibuster by a 53% to 35% margin. Q. The state of Massachusetts now allows gays and lesbians to marry and receive marriage benefits. Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagree that this law should be reversed by passing an amendment to the United States Constitution that grants marriage only to unions between a man and a woman? Fifty-one percent of voters agreed that a constitutional amendment should be passed that grants marriage only to unions between a man and a woman while 43% of voters disagreed. Daily and weekly church-goers strongly supported a constitutional amendment to grant marriage only to unions between a man and a woman by margins of 65% to 34% and 60% to 33% respectively. Current military members, by a margin of 59% to 36% agreed that a constitutional amendment was necessary as did veterans who feel the same by a margin of 54% to 42%. Sixty-two% of gun owners favor a constitutional amendment while 34% of gun owners disagree. Investors in the stock market and in 401-K retirement plans and non-investors, by margins of 53% to 43% and 51% to 43% respectively, think a constitutional amendment is necessary. Fifty-three percent of NASCAR, high school sports and little league sports fans agreed that a constitutional amendment is necessary while 45% disagreed. Non-NASCAR fans also agreed that a constitutional amendment is necessary by a 50% to 44% margin. Q. Who would do a better job of dealing with Al Qaeda, Saddam Hussein, Moammar Gaddafi, North Korea and Iran? George W. Bush or John Kerry? Fifty-percent of voters said Bush would do a better job compared to the 33% of voters who felt John Kerry would do a better job. Fifty-eight percent of current military members and 53% of veterans feel that Bush would do a better job while 32% of current military members and 27% of veterans gave the nod to Kerry. Gun owners and investors by overwhelming margins of 63% to 23% and 58% to 28% respectively, feel Bush would do a better job in dealing with rogue states and leaders. Non-investors also thought Bush would do a better job in dealing with rogue states and leaders by a margin of 48% to 35%. Church-goers and non-church-goers alike thought Bush would do a better job. Daily church-goers and weekly church-goers favored Bush by margins of 57% to 22% and 62% to 21% respectively. Non-church goers also favored Bush to deal with rogue nations and leaders by a 42% to 36% margin. Forty-nine percent of NASCAR, high school sports and little league sports fans think Bush would do a better job of dealing with rogue states and leaders and 33% felt that Kerry was the better choice. Forty-eight percent of non-NASCAR fans also thought Bush would be better to deal with rogue states and leaders while 32% favored Kerry.